Georgia vs. Tennessee prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, betting trends, and stats

Georgia vs. Tennessee prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, betting trends, and stats

Georgia (7-2) steamrolled Clemson 34-3 in the opener before winning a coin-flip 13-12 slog over Kentucky to open 3-0. A catastrophic, interception-laden first half for QB Carson Beck led to their first defeat at the hands of Alabama in Week 4. Fortunately, the Dawgs bounced back to extinguish Texas in Austin 30-15, despite another three-interception performance by QB Carson Beck. Two weeks ago, they overcame a first half scare from Florida for a 34-20 victory, which was a harbinger for last weeks embarrassing 28-10 loss to @Ole Miss. Their offense lacks explosion, ranking 99th in yards per successful rush (8.9 yards) and 73rd in yards per successful dropback (14.6 yards), and has committed 15 turnovers with a 3.6% interception rate (102nd). A loss to Tennessee would sink UGAs CFP Playoff hopes, so they hope to have injured RB Trevor Etienne back up to speed after being limited the last two games.

Tennessee (8-1) obliterated their first three non-conference opponents by a combined score of 191-13. That is not a misprint. Their lone misstep occurred in Week 4 when @Arkansas backup QB Malachi Singleton ran for an 11-yard touchdown with 1:11 remaining in the game to outlast UT 19-17. They churned out a pair of one-score wins over Florida and most notably Alabama, which has been their signature win to this point. Tennessees offense has cleared 28 points just once in SEC play, ranking 23rd in EPA/rush and 45th in EPA/dropback. Defensively they rank 3rd overall in SP+ and boast arguably the best run D in the nation, averaging a 28% stuff rate (2nd) and 33.6% rushing success rate (4th).

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· Date: Saturday, November 16, 2024· Time: 7:30 PM EST· Site: Sanford Stadium· City: Athens, GA· TV/Streaming: ABC/ESPN+

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The latest odds as of Thursday:

The Georgia line opened at a massive Georgia -17.5, but that has dramatically readjusted to the current -10.5 with unsubstantiated reports of Tennessee QB Nico Iamaleava allegedly being on track to play. Best prices for the Moneyline are -360 for UGA and +335 for the Vols. The game total has ticked down from the 49 open to a low of 47.5 at time of publishing.

NBC Sports Betting Analyst Eric Froton (@CFFroton) thinks:Georgia is 6-3 to the Under so far this year and has failed to clear the 48.5 points mark against Ole Miss, Texas, Auburn, Kentucky and Clemson. The only competitive game that went under was the Carson Beck first half meltdown against Alabama. Tennessee has gone Under 48.5 points in every SEC game so far, so I’m going to listen to the trends and play the UNDER 48.5 game total.

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