We finally are getting the drip of football games to watch and respond to (and re-respond to, and re-re-respond to, and …). Wasnt it great?
Now that the dust has settled on our first preseason games, I took a gander around the NFL and what stood out to me (and what has me reevaluating and confirming prior takes).
Those first games were a reminder of how fun football is, and how sloppy preseason football is. It also was a stark reminder of the downsides of this great game. Like, say, injuries that come out of nowhere to a teams first-round quarterback!
J.J. McCarthy grew on me throughout the scouting process. His limited sample size checked the boxes for those into the strict #QBwinz fare, but his actual play had more flashes from which to extrapolate his NFL potential than youd first expect. He has a pro-ready arm (that he sometimes has to hitch into more than youd prefer) with a loose athleticism that allows him to get creative with how he places the football, plus a real understanding for playing the quarterback position (something that showed up at the Vikings training camp practices that I attended).
The best aspects of McCarthys game showed up during his first (and now only) preseason jaunt: the pocket movement, live arm, athleticism and willingness to stand and fire on his throws all popped up against the Raiders.
nice throw and cheers pic.twitter.com/EAccdrKOUB
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) August 11, 2024
It wasnt all perfect. He still could move through his reads at an even quicker rate and eliminate an extra hitch (both things that should and will improve with more live reps which, ya know ), and he got punished with an interception when trying to do a little too much. But it was everything you could hope to see for the youngest quarterback in his class dipping his toes in NFL waters for the first time.
Sadly, McCarthy wont get to add to his Loch Ness Monster-esque sample size this season. Not because Sam Darnold clearly outplayed him so far in the preseason (although Darnold had his preseason moments as well), but because of a surgery to repair a torn meniscus in McCarthys knee.
oh no not again pic.twitter.com/9DQXGOeJNm
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) August 11, 2024
Its disappointing that we wont get to see McCarthy potentially add more layers to his game during his rookie campaign with real tangible football plays. But he has still been placed in a strong environment with one of the better offensive minds in the game in head coach Kevin O’Connell; a solid enough line; an improved and likely more explosive run game (going from Alexander Mattison to Aaron Jones, even if its only a chunk of the games, is such an huge improvement); and in this writers eyes, the best wide receiver in the league in Justin Jefferson. Now, T.J. Hockenson is still working back from injury and Jordan Addison went down in practice with his own injury (though O’Connell said he thinks he’ll be OK), but this is still offense should be at least in the top half of the league as long as the quarterback has a pulse to him.
McCarthy, tantalizing, showed that he had one. And I do think that Darnold has one, too. Hes not going to pull a 1998 Randall Cunningham or anything, but Darnold does have the tools and Leeroy Jenkins-esque play style that can get hot. With the potential offense the Vikings could have, along with a chaotic Brian Flores defense that can also create scoring runs, it all makes getting hot a pretty appealing option in the fairly wide open NFC.
And now again, this is theory until we see it for more than a month Darnold has a stronger environment around him that could keep him away from his worst tendencies of trying to do too much, with better teammates taking advantage of the, shall we say untraditional chances that Darnold will create.
From a schematic sense, the offense will feature plenty of play action, which will let Darnold push the ball to create (positive) damage for the offense while also limiting the choices and possible (negative) damage he could inflict. Also, keep an eye on Darnold on designed runs. He has long been a weapon on these runs, especially in high-leverage scenarios like in the red zone, and I can see OConnell salivating at finally being able to take advantage of defenses fully committing on the running back.
Sam Darnold keeping it on a Zone Read and getting around the corner on Aidan Hutchinson pic.twitter.com/2f0FivPWSb
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) December 28, 2022
The McCarthy injury news is tough. But there’s a silver lining that he has true strengths to build on and is even perhaps further along than expected. Plus, the rest of the offense and team, with a swashbuckler calling defensive plays in Flores and now another loon behind center, still has a chance to be a hard out that can bring the fight to any team this year.
I really, really, really liked Graham Barton in the draft process. So much so that he finished as the 12th overall prospect on my final big board. I understood that Barton would likely never play at the tackle position in the NFL. But his upside as an interior player, especially as true needle moving center, made me think that he could have a booster effect on the rest of not only the offensive line but the offense as a whole.
Well, Barton ended up going to an absolutely ideal spot for his services. The Buccaneers’ run game and interior offensive line play in 2023 was poor. Dave Canales was committed to a run game, but running behind overmatched players led to some highly ineffective results. Barton, and I say this with the giant glowing light of SMALL SAMPLE SIZE glowing behind me, has already looked like a difference maker for the Bucs’ offense.
Graham Barton and Cody Mauch getting some serious movement on their double-team pic.twitter.com/px4nR383l1
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) August 13, 2024
If Barton can just be above average, it would be a significant improvement in Tampa. Same goes for right guard Cody Mauch and his improvement: If it can just be average, its an improvement from the level established last year.
This has made me more bullish on the Bucs the more that I have marinated on the idea of what they currently are. Sure, Baker Mayfield will have some regression from how he performed on third down last year he ranked sixth in EPA and seventh in success rate on late downs, and 18th and 24th in the same respective categories on early downs but I think the improved run game is what will offset the boom-or-bust ways of Baker. Shortening the passing downs and the asks of Mayfield will allow the whole offense to be more consistent.
Also, look at the dearth of centers that hit the market and in the draft. What used to be a figure it out later position now has teams considering their investments in both the starter and depth at the increasingly more important position of center (and interior offensive line play), a response to the talent along the interior of the NFL right now and the creative, some would say evil, looks that defensive coordinators use. Its early, but Im still bullish on Barton with the Bucs.
Christian Wilkins is a very good player and is now playing with a very good player in Maxx Crosby. And this week was a good reminder of that.
Christian Wilkins (#94) making a mess of things pic.twitter.com/H76x2IvGXr
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) August 11, 2024
The Raiders defense has a chance to be a strong unit this year. Seeing Wilkins wipe out the Vikings’ drive as a run defender and pass rusher showcased that the Raiders are more interesting than youd first think.
Just ignore the competition thats currently happening at quarterback right now.
Ive been giddy about Jordan Love and the Packers offense for a while now. But, after keeping an eye on their defense this offseason and giving that unit a gander during their first preseason tilt, their defensive front has piqued my curiosity.
The interior pass rush, even without Kenny Clark out there, had some real juice to it. Devonte Wyatt finally looks like hes ready to make some consistent noise, even if its just as a pass rusher. Karl Brooks looks like hes primed for a breakout second season that will catapult him out of the football hipster starter card set.
The edge defenders have proven pressure generators in veterans Preston Smith and Rashan Gary, but now should be supplemented by a player in Lukas Van Ness that should ascend rapidly as he gets more playing time under his belt.
group effort, but watch Lukas Van Ness (#90) pic.twitter.com/kpinPuXHX2
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) August 12, 2024
The entire defense should be in line to improve with a more cohesive structure (although new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafleys preferred Cover 3 scheme is an interesting zag in the current NFL landscape), and the defensive line and its potential ferocity could help drive the way for the young and talented Packers.
Im more of a believer in the Seahawks this season than most. They return a large portion of their cast of characters and have added to some weak points in the roster (including defensive play-caller).
Ill still have to see more out of new head coach Mike Macdonald as a play-caller in Seattle until Im ready to anoint it as an instant-turnaround, but his kaleidoscopic scheme should be fun to see tacked onto this Seahawks defense that has actually some strong front personnel to work with and star in Devon Witherspoon on the backend.
That front also looks like it has been bolstered with first-round pick Byron Murphy, who rocks and should make an instant impact this year.
Byron Murphy (#91) knocks the center back and gets the TFL pic.twitter.com/rw2eaytPZQ
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) August 13, 2024
Offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb, in his first season in the pros after making a name for himself at Washington, has also had me feeling more optimistic about the Seahawks this year. He is a creative play-caller that was already mixing in plenty of shifting, motions and RPOs during Seattles first preseason game.
Seahawks shifting the TEs swaps the entire Chargers defense, then they run a Duo RPO with some quick outs tagged. pic.twitter.com/ecHt7inmYb
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) August 11, 2024
The heavy use of tight end motion, popularized last year by teams like the Rams, Packers, Dolphins, 49ers and Cardinals, is already showing up leaguewide in the preseason this year. And the Seahawks are no different, and could perhaps have a few of their own formation twists (Grubbs use of bunch and stack formations is a lot of fun) starting to get cherry-picked by play-calling comrades.
The Seahawks also showed some things in their first preseason game, particularly vertical concepts with plenty of switch releases from the receivers, that have me excited to see Geno Smith progressing through them instead of Sam Howell typically deferring to something on the outside. If the offensive line can just be solid (and healthy), then this offense could really find a groove with Grubb dialing things up.
And this might be reading between the lines a little too much, but there seems to be buy-in from the Seahawks. Watch Jaxon Smith-Njigba burying the defender with his block:
check out JSN getting in there and digging out the safety! pic.twitter.com/bgleS1LiKe
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) August 11, 2024
Chiefs reporters were tweeting out the rep counts for the Chiefs running backs during practice following their first preseason game. And a surname was included with the first team plays that grabbed my attention. That name was Steele.
Now, Carson Steele wears No. 42 and is listed as a fullback on the Chiefs roster. So, I thought that meant he was just on the field for those plays blocking for Isiah Pacheco. But no. It turned out Steele was getting touches in practice with the first- and second-team units of the Chiefs offense. Like a real, actual running back.
After reviewing the Chiefs’ first preseason game against the Jaguars. I can see why the coaches were eager to push Steele up the depth chart as August rolled on.
I mean I get it https://t.co/SKKMNtHImw pic.twitter.com/3McwoaGLgi
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) August 14, 2024
Pacheco is locked in as the Chiefs’ starting running back. But hes not exactly been the model of consistency as a runner and in terms of staying on the field (at least last year). Deneric Prince has gotten looks with the Chiefs’ second team as well this training camp, but keep an eye on Steele continuing to earn more and more touches as things start clarifying leaguewide.
Thought this was too good not to share. Spencer Anderson overselling a light tap that would make Shawn Michaels blush:
just a beautiful sell from Spencer Anderson pic.twitter.com/KcJa6wHVMs
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) August 12, 2024
Outside of his flop, Anderson actually had a strong first preseason game, too. Look for him to further stabilize what could be a strong run game emerging in Pittsburgh this season under Arthur Smith. Check out those double-teams!
the Steelers run game could really pop this year.check out the double-teams by the OL on both sides of the ball. One moves a DT about five gaps over and the other is a clean pass-off (look at #77 Broderick Jones snap around!) pic.twitter.com/GuixPiFgqS
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) August 12, 2024
This play fired me up.
Qwan’tez Stiggers was locked in on the corner blitz pic.twitter.com/YiwFMmuQUt
Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) August 12, 2024
That tackle on the cornerback blitz encapsulates his play style perfectly. If you have a moment, check out Stiggers backstory and how he got to the NFL in this profile by my Yahoo Sports cohort Jori Epstein.